I'm not sure whether the GreenSpeed or Evolution Extreme can operate at ALL at -30C (and if they do the efficiency performance is pretty abyssmal down there.) About -15C is about as low as they can go while still getting a COP of ~2. If your outside design temp were -10C or warmer you'd get pretty good efficiency out of them, but that's not Manitoba.
Below -10C both efficiency and capacity start falling pretty quickly. The 3-ton Greenspeed can only deliver about 12000BTU/hr at -25C. Play around with the settings under using the "Heating Capacities" tab on this tool:
http://www.tools.carrier.com/greenspeed/ If the cottage has a reasonably open floor plan you can probably do pretty well with the Fujitsu Halcyon XLT-H mini-splits. They will have a COP of about 1.8 @ -25C running flat-out. The AOU-15RLS2-H puts out 15,000 BTU/hr @ -25C. But it's a mini-split- not ducted, so if you have a lot of doored off rooms with significant heat loads where the doors are normally closed, it's probably not going to work for you.
All good heating systems start with a room by room heat load calculation. Only then can you come up with reasonable solutions, but I doubt the GreenSpeed or Evolution Extreme will come even close to meeting your needs.