So you're saying the gypsum goes up before the roof decking to be able to compress the air gap?
While the MI ice damming case is of some interest, the author states:
"... I estimated the overall effective R-value of the roof to be 30, ±4. While this is slightly lower than the Michigan code requirement of R-38, ..."
Even in a vented roof situation an R30 roof will non prevent ice dams in the MI-UP, and in a composite built-up roof (rather than a membrane) the saturated slush under the snowpack will also saturate the roof deck.
Ice dams are more of a warmer-wetter winter phenomenon than a coldest weather issue, since that's when the roof deck can reach and sustain 32F for long periods of time- when it's -5F out even the R30 is fine. (The modeled and calculated tipping point with the given snowpack was +10F, which can easiliy be an early-January week's average temp in the UP.) It's not surprising that the problem in the article exhibited itself.
In the on-the-temperature-margin maritime slush factory called "eastern Massachusetts" where the temperature ranges cited in the article persist for most of the winter, empirical observations indicate that it takes ~R50 or higher to reliably suppress ice dams, but at R50 it seems to work whether vented or unvented, heavy snow load or light, but I'm sure there will be the once every handful of decades condition where that too doesn't work completely.
Venting roof decks does indeed add resiliance in less-than-ideal situations, and can significantly mitigate the formation of ice dams during ice-damming weather. Still, R49 is IRC 2009 code-min in the MI-UP, which probably WOULD have cut it even in the unvented condition:
http://energycode.pnl.gov/EnergyCodeReqs/?state=Michigan
And 2" of R6/inch closed cell + the remainder in R3.7/inch cellulose in a 2x12 cavity probably would too, despite only hitting around ~R45 @ center cavity instead of R49.
The
proposed solution in that article is a reliable one that I've recommended on this forum multiple times- add exterior foam above the roof deck (bringing the total R up to code) with a furring-mounted vented nailer deck above it. While it may not prevent the ice damning every time, it prevents it most of the time, and prevents the damage when it does occur. (It's what's going on my central-MA house when it's time to re-roof over the paltry 2x6 rafters.) While it's more expensive than a membrane approach, it's more resilient.