One's total for monthly utility cost can be highly variable on many factors beyond what kind of HVAC system you have and how efficient it may be.
Here's a discussion to illustrate this comment.
As a comparison point, for all of 2011 I averaged $250/mo (electricity + NG) for a 3400 sf single-story home with a lot of glass windows in a hot climate (Dallas), with 8 tons of geothermal HVAC capacity (located in hot attic), a 30 kgal swimming pool with 3 pumps, and typical early '90s construction techniques (nothing special about doors, windows or insulattion). Of the $250/mo total, $62/mo was the average heating & cooling cost.
You can see charts of these numbers here:
http://www.welserver.com/WEL0043 .
I also have all CFL lighting, a dedicated home automation processor that's constantly turning things off as appropriate, shades on all windows, and ceiling fans in all rooms. Winter time thermostat set point is 68°, summer time is 77°. Cooking, hot water, and clothes drying are all done using natural gas.
Your one month (winter) cost is $200 for a 2300 sf home in a cold climate (I'm assuming this since you have a basement and avg outside temp is 25°F this past month), with geothermal HVAC (located in basement?), no pool, and excellent construction techniques (good windows, great attic insulation and ICF walls).
Before you can decide if $200 for a winter month is "within the norm," or if you "need to have the ... installer come take a look," you've got some things to look at.
First, you need to get a good reading on you 12 month rolling avg cost. It's quite possible that $200 for a cold winter month might be quite good, and your monthly cost for other months will be substantially less.
Then, here's a list of seven things to look at that all affect monthly utility cost:
1. Your per kWh charge that you pay (I paid 9.9¢ for all of 2011, and less in 2012; you paid 12.5¢ for your one month illustrated here). How aggressively are you managing your electric rate?
2. How efficient is your lighting? All CFL/LED, a mix that includes incandescent, or all incandescent?
3. What is your living style? Do you use programmable tstats, extensively use ceiling fans, wash dishes without 'heated dry' function, set your hot water heaters to normal or cool settings, only use detergents for cold water clothes washing, close drapes during day for windows that get a lot of sun, only run full loads for dish washer / clothes washer / clothes drying?
4. Do you turn stuff off? Do you put stuff on power strips that make turning off easy, do you use switch and plug timers, do you use laptops instead of workstations, and do you keep seldom used items unplugged?
5. Do you spend time understanding your utility meter readings, and/or use various gadgets to measure and understand what individual items consume? Are you implementing any actions from your learnings?
6a. I assume your structure's heat gain/loss performance is excellent, that it's air tight (and no attic fans) and well insulated. What about shading, though?
6b. Having your HVAC system checked annually I think is a good expense. A good geothermal professional can easily determine if anything's wrong. Annual review also can help make warranty claims less of a challenge.
6c. You might want to consider getting an energy audit to look for things that aren't obvious, particularly to simply have a benchmark.
7. What's the overall quantity of Energy Star appliances? I assume this one's pretty good for you. If you have any pumps for anything (i.e. a pool) are they low power versions? If your hot water is electric, look at options including heat pump electric hot water heaters.
If it was me, I'd probably focus on these 9 things for this first year in your particular home:
1. Keep track of utility expenses to get a good read on average monthly cost across an entire year, and then draw conclusion from it.
2. Agressively find the best deal for electricity purchase, if you have the option to do so.
3. Change out every incandescent bulb (if you have any) to CFL or LED. This one's a 'no-brainer.'
4. Decide what the warmest (cooling) and coolest (heating) tstat settings you and your family are comfortable with, and then implement them (purchase programable tstats if you don't have them).
5. Develop the habits to turn stuff off.
6. Purchase a Kill A Watt gadget to learn what various plug-in items consume.
7. Plant trees that will provide a lot of shading to the house (avoid south exposures though to keep eventual solar PV a possibility).
8. Find a good geothermal HVAC professional and set up up annual inspection / maintenance. The first time out can be used to ascertain if there are any problems.
9. Check appliances to ensure all are still in excellent working order.
Hope this helps.
Best regards,
Bill